Saturday, March 15, 2008

Music, Video and Software business models paradigm shift underway

When did you last buy a CD? I didn't buy one for a pretty long time and the last one I bought was from an artist I like nearly every single piece of work he creates, Pat Metheny. Is then the music business going away for a free show? Of course not, because one buys legally music on-line. Do we really?

NPD Group, a market research firm, gave us some clues recently in publishing a new report about the music industry. Here are in shorts the finding for 2007:
  1. 48% of all teenagers never bought a CD (38% in 2006)
  2. CD sold in the U.S. fell 19% from 2006
  3. Apple iTunes (selling only digital downloads) is now the #2 music shop in the U.S. jumping ahead Best Buy and trailing Wal-Mart
  4. 29 Million people bought music legally from online music stores, up from 24 Million in 2006 i.e. + 21%
I'm convinced buying singles or albums on-line is not the ultimate business model. What about subscribing for a monthly fee of about $20 to listen to all the music you can get legally? Store it on your MP3 device when you're not connected for as long as you pay for your subscription?

You like this idea? All the music you can get for a flat fee? What about Video
And what about for FREE?

Well checkout, all the video you can get on-line for free, because you get advertising with it. Unfortunately only in the U.S. for now.

... and what about software? What about a flat monthly fee to access a dedicated application portfolio coming out from several vendors, a bouquet of SaaS focusing on a business or personal matter (Sales, Marketing, ...).

Let's watch this e-commerce space carefully as music and videos are paving the way when it gets down to digital goods business models tsunamis.

Saturday, March 01, 2008

Where is Internet headed?

It's been a long time since I published a post. Very busy working in my new company to revamp the product portfolio and its marketing. It's a B2B software company and the question of course was: "what to have on our radar to think about the future releases of our applications".

My nickname in this new company is Emmanuel 2.0, you wonder why? That's because you're a newcomer to this blog. So here we are, trying to figure out the major Internet trends. I've always been fond of supporting my hunches with data. So let's deal with the claims first and the figures to follow.
Claim#1: The Internet is growing still very fast (5M new users per week) thus making e-commerce king
Claim#2: The Internet is growing mobile (2.8B mobile phones in 2007 growing to 3.8B in 2011 to be compared with 980M PCs in 2007 growing to 1.5B according to Gartner). "Worldwide sales of mobile phones to end-users surpassed 1,15bn units in 2007, a 16% increase from 2006 sales", Computing SA citing Gartner. And if you're wondering what is the major customer benefit iPhones brings (4M units sold in 2 quarters), here is my take: real and easy web browsing. I can at least speak for myself, I do not fire up my PC at home to navigate on the web and checkout my facebook page, I use my iPhone.
Claim#3: Web 2.0 is driving the webtop metaphor vs the desktop metaphor (check my post "from desktop to webtop" about it)

Now with the additional figure about e-commerce: "eMarketer predicts that online retailers in the US will ring up over $100 billion more in sales in 2012 than they did in 2007. Sales growth will come mainly from consumers who are shifting their spending from traditional retail stores to the Internet.", eMarketer. Take a look at the table for more details, but you can easily figure out that buying behavior and for that matter marketing web behavior are shifting big time. I would strongly advise to revise your marketing mix to accommodate at least 20-25% to web marketing including viral marketing techniques.

Finally, and I'm sure we'll agree easily, web content has also shifted to video and pictures. For this one, I'll let you find the figures. Let's rock marketing on the web for 2008 fellow marketeers.